It might sound like a moonshot, but new numbers suggest the U.S. government may be sitting on untapped resources that could help working and middle-class Americans in a big way.


Tariff Revenue: A Surprising Surge

Recent projections show U.S. tariffs could bring in between $80 billion (low estimate) and $300 billion by the end of 2025. Even a middle-of-the-road estimate of $150–200 billion is significant.


DOGE: The Government’s Big Savings Push

The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk, has identified up to $199 billion in potential savings through contract cancellations, cost reductions, and asset sales. Analysts caution that the real savings could be smaller — possibly just $18–53 billion — but Musk’s revised target of $150 billion for fiscal 2026 shows the potential is large if even partially realized.


Putting It Together

Let’s stay conservative:

  • Tariffs: $80 billion
  • DOGE realized savings: $20 billion
  • Total available: $100 billion

This is enough to eliminate federal income taxes for individual earners earning up to $60,000 — a move that could affect roughly 61–63% of the workforce, or over 100 million Americans.

For context, individual earners under $50,000 paid roughly $70 billion last year. Expanding the threshold to $60,000 would cover an even larger portion of the workforce and still fit within these conservative revenue estimates.


Empowering Work, Opportunity, and Financial Futures

Raising the “no-tax zone” to $60,000 dramatically increases take-home pay for early-career professionals, teachers, nurses, skilled trades workers, service-sector employees, and part-time labor. The ripple effects are significant:

  • Debt Reduction: Families can pay down credit cards, student loans, and other debts, lowering stress and improving credit scores.
  • Investing & Savings: Even small contributions to platforms like Robinhood, Coinbase, Acorns, Fidelity, Vanguard, and Stash can build long-term wealth.
  • Increased Work Incentive: More take-home pay makes working part-time or extra hours more appealing without the fear of hitting a punitive tax threshold.
  • Upward Mobility: Early-career workers and parents see the rewards of effort, setting the stage for generational financial independence.

AGI Bands: A New Thought Experiment

If tariff revenue and DOGE savings beat expectations — say closer to $300 billion and $150 billion — the “no-tax zone” could expand even further, with new AGI bands looking like this:

AGI BandPercentilePossible Tax ShareEffect If Tariff + DOGE Savings Used
Under $60,000~Bottom 60–63%0%No federal income tax = instant relief
$60,000–$110,000~60th–75th5–10%“No-tax zone” could extend upward
$110,000–$200,000~75th–90th~18%Lower rates for middle earners
$200,000–$1 million~90th–99th~30%Progressive structure maintained
Above $1 millionTop 1%~40%Major share remains for the highest earners

Example: How Marginal Tax Brackets Work

Raising the no-tax zone to $60,000 does not punish higher earners. Only the income above the threshold is taxed:

  • First $60,000 → tax-free
  • Next $15,000 → taxed at the marginal rate
  • Total tax owed → just on the portion above $60,000

This makes additional work and higher pay financially rewarding, not penalizing.


Which Regions Would Benefit Most?

Income and workforce patterns vary widely by region. Expanding the no-tax zone to $60,000 would have disproportionate benefits depending on the regional workforce composition:

High-Impact Regions

  • South/Southeast: Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, West Virginia, Alabama, Kentucky, South Carolina, Oklahoma — high share of sub-$60k earners.
  • Mountain West / Southwest: New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada — rising working-class populations.
  • Large states with many low-to-middle earners: Texas, Florida, California, New York — high absolute numbers of beneficiaries.

Moderate Impact

  • Midwest: Ohio, Indiana, Missouri, Michigan — moderate relief for working-class earners.
  • Northeast: Massachusetts, Maryland, Connecticut — fewer earners under $60k but meaningful impact in cost-of-living pockets.

Bottom line: The policy disproportionately helps regions with the largest working-class populations while still providing meaningful relief nationwide.


Bottom Line: A Transformative Idea

Raising the federal “no-tax zone” to $60,000 using existing tariff and DOGE savings:

  • Provides relief to over 100 million Americans
  • Boosts consumer spending, debt reduction, and investment
  • Encourages work, financial independence, and upward mobility
  • Strengthens the workforce in regions that need it most

This isn’t a fantasy. It’s a quantitative framework for reallocating revenue to benefit the majority of Americans — a step toward economic empowerment that could ripple through families, communities, and the broader economy.

Podcast also available on Spotify and RSS.

Leave a comment